Why Trump gets more hype out of 1,000 jobs than Obama does out of 16 million
Why Trump gets more hype out of 1,000 jobs than Obama does out of 16 millionAt least for a moment, President-elect Donald Trump appeared to achieve this week what President Obama struggled to do for most of the past eight years: convince Americans that he can fix the economy.
Cheering crowds greeted Trump during his victory lap through the Rust Belt this week following the announcement that the nation’s new negotiator-in-chief had struck a deal with heating and air conditioner manufacturer Carrier to keep a factory in Indiana from moving to Mexico. The agreement affected roughly 1,000 jobs and provided Trump the opportunity to deliver on a powerful campaign promise even before taking office.
The plant is just a sliver compared with the nearly 16 million new jobs generated under Obama as he guided the country out of the worst economic crisis since the Depression. But Obama’s success came in fits and starts, illustrated by graphs and pie charts, driven by the philosophy that strengthening the economy required comprehensive new policies.
Trump’s hype of his first victory, on the other hand, suggests that he will embrace the bully pulpit to push an agenda grounded as much in emotion as economics, if not more.
“I think what he did in Indiana . . . was good theater,” said David Axelrod, head of the Institute of Politics at the University of Chicago and a former senior adviser to Obama. “From an optics standpoint, he profited from it.”
Trump will enter the Oval Office with a significant advantage over his predecessor. New government data released Friday showed that the national unemployment rate dropped to 4.6 percent last month, the lowest level since President George W. Bush sat in the White House in 2007. The economy added 178,000 jobs, extending the longest streak of monthly job growth on record.
More-stubborn indicators of the economy’s health, such as wage growth, have finally begun to pick up. Discouraged workers are returning to the labor force. And many of the jobs created over the past two years have been in higher-paying industries.
“It is night and day between the economy we inherited and the one we are passing off,” Deputy Labor Secretary Chris Lu said in an interview.
The painful financial crisis in 2008 forced Obama to spend his first years in office conducting economic triage, including controversial decisions to bail out the nation’s largest banks and rescue the troubled auto industry.
In addition, the recovery from the Great Recession has been excruciatingly slow and uneven. Many workers felt left behind amid broader progress in the economy — a vein of frustration that Trump tapped into during the campaign.
“It was tremendously costly to Obama to have to catch a falling knife, basically,” said Jared Bernstein, senior fellow at the Center for Budget and Policy Priorities and a former economic adviser to Vice President Biden. “Pretty quickly our message became: ‘Things would’ve been worse had it not been for our interventions.’ That’s gotta be one of the hardest messages to try to sell.”
In the final months of his presidency, Obama’s message finally appears to be sinking in. A recent Gallup poll shows that his approval rating has jumped over the past two years as job growth picked up and the unemployment rate fell more quickly.“It might be a little bit of a publicity stunt, to tell you the truth,” Howard said. “But if it ends up on the up and up, that’s noble of him.”
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